Monday, June 16, 2008

The STI found heavy resistance at 3,500 points level after rallying from its major support level at 2,750 points in March. The resistance caused the STI to pull back to close at 2,979.56 today. The STI which was between the short to long term averages weeks ago now goes back under the average and this indicates that the trend is continuing downwards and the momentum indicators are currently supporting the down trend.

Although an immediate technical rebound is expected because the Stochastic indicator is below the oversold scale below 30, the STI may find short term down trend line resistance at 3,160 points. If the STI is able to break above this resistance, then there is a high chance of it testing the major support level at 2,750 points.

Article by Benny Lee

Friday, June 6, 2008

In numerous traders clubs and forums, you will often find people who routinely disclose what positions they have and why. Often, the intentions of these people are innocent in that they want to help others to discover an approach that is going to work for them. They want to teach the recipients and empower them to learn more about trading. Sometimes, the person disclosing the information may have other intentions however there is always the chance that this could have a detrimental effect on the person disclosing the information.

They need to be careful that they don’t start believing too much in their position just because they have disclosed it to others.

At the best of times, taking losses can be difficult. It is probably the most single identifiable reason why traders fail. Taking a loss means that you must accept that you got the trade wrong and this can be difficult for a lot of people. Now that you have disclosed your trade to a group of people, it can make it even harder to accept that you were wrong and therefore close the trade when you should. Advocating the trade to others instils in you the positives of the trade and these may eventually subconsciously influence your decision to not exit the trade.

Traders should avoid discussing their open positions and their opinion on various potential trades because it may affect their objectivity when in that position themselves and make it harder to take a loss, even when that is their best course of action.

Confident traders rely on their own methodology and not what others are saying.

If you make a habit of discussing your open trades, there is a chance it will end up costing you money, especially if you repeat your opinions often enough, in that you might actually start believing what you are saying.

The same goes with tips. A common rule is to not give nor listen to tips. A trap that you can easily fall into with a tip, can occur when your position starts to move against you. You are more inclined to break the rules and not cut your loss because of the ‘reliable’ information you have heard about the security’s future. Have confidence in your own approach and never worry about tips of any nature regardless of whom they are from.

When you give a tip, and the position moves against you, it is possible to feel some obligation to stay in the trade because of the relationship you have with the person you gave the tip to. It is unlikely that you could face up to the person one week after the position was entered, and tell them that the tip is no good and they should exit.

In his book ‘Reminiscences of a Stock Operator’ (a fictionalised biography of one of the greatest market speculators, Jesse Livermore), Edwin Lefevre mentions how destructive tips can be to one’s trading. This is coming from a book that was first published in 1923 and is one of the most highly regarded financial books ever written. Back in 1923, tips were considered disastrous, so there is no reason to think that they are different today.

Trust yourself and have confidence in your own methodology.

Article by Stuart McPhee

Thursday, June 5, 2008

The breakout from the consolidation period two months ago was short-lived as the HSI went back in to the trading range which was between 22,000 to 25,000 points. The HSI failed to test the 27,500 resistance level since last month. It went as high as 26,377.99 points before closing at 24,383.99 points. The decline from the high ends the short term up trend as lower lows and lower highs are formed.

The RSI indicator is now below 50 and this shows that the bears are taking over. The HSI is now in a short term down trend. The HSI is currently at its short to long term averages (identified by 30 to 90 day moving averages). The ADX indicator suggests a strong momentum developing downwards. Therefore, we may expect the HSI to test the immediate support level at 23,000 points. Resistance level is lowered to 26,500 points from 27,500 points. By Benny Lee

The political scene seems to be more interesting than the financial markets, now with stronger opposition voice in parliament and new state governments trying to settle down. In the stock market, the KLCI went into a trading range last month. It did not even try to test the 1,340 points resistance level. The KLCI only managed to went to as high as 1,305.09 points since last month before settling at 1,261.82.



On the daily chart, the KLCI has formed a double top chart formation which indicates that the KLCI is now at a toppish position. The double top formation was confirmed when it broke its neckline at 1,270 points just a few days ago. The RSI indicator indicates a strong resistance and is now below 50, where bears are currently in-charge. The KLCI is now in a down trend reversal and is expected to test its immediate support level at 1,215 points, while stronger support level is at 1,150 points. Resistance is lowered to 1,300 points from 1,340 points because of stronger pressure downwards. By Benny Lee

Wednesday, June 4, 2008

The Singapore market was marred with uncertainty last month with the FTSTI struggling to test the 3,300 points resistance level. The FTSTI closed at 3,160.78 points after only managed to reach a high of 3269.88 points about 3 weeks ago and recently tested the support level of 3,100 points.


The daily chart pattern is forming (not completed as of today) a head and shoulders pattern. The head and shoulders pattern signals price has reached the top (in this case the short term trend). Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are indicating weak momentum in the up trend and even the volume is declining. The FTSTI is expected to head south to test the immediate support level of 3,100 points and if this support level does not hold, the only technical support level is a psychological one, which is at 3,000 points. Resistance level remains strong at 3,300 points. By Benny Lee

Monday, June 2, 2008



Genting is known for developing Resorts World at Sentosa, Singapore’s integrated resort in Sentosa island. Genting is an integrated resorts development specialist with many years of international gaming expertise and global experience in developing, operating and/or marketing internationally acclaimed casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom (“UK”).

Genting International is a 54.8 percent-owned member company of Genting Berhad and was incorporated in 1984 to invest in leisure and gaming-related businesses outside Malaysia.

For four years from year 2002 to year 2006, the share price for Genting has been in a trading range between SGD0.20 to SGD0.35 (Adjusted price data). Price started to increase aggressively at the end of 2006 after winning the bid to develop Singapore integrated resorts. Price shot up to SGD1.00 in just one month (January). That’s a 285% increase in a month. It went to a low of SGD0.60 one month later (February) before ascending again to SGD1.00 in April. Today its share price closed at SGD0.595.

Technically, the trend is still bearish but has found strong support in the SGD0.570 area. The strong support is identified when the price action in the past few months created a pattern called the inverted head and shoulders pattern. It is a pattern that indicates price has may bottomed out.

The increasing Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator also shows that the momentum is skewed upwards. These indicators show a good potential for price of Genting to rebound upwards.

The neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern is at SGD0.63. The reversal is confirmed when price breaks above SGD0.63. The share price may find some resistance here as a common reaction to the trend line resistance, but price may continue upwards if it is able to stay above SGD0.63. The potential target from this pattern is SGD0.72. Major support level remains at SGD0.57.

Daily Genting chart as at 29 May 2008, using NextVIEW Advisor

Article by Benny Lee