Thursday, December 3, 2009

As one of the major financial hubs in Asia, the Hong Kong equity market took a plunge after Dubai announced having problems in paying its debts which caused investors to worry about another financial crisis. The HSI gapped down and fell slightly more than 1,000 points or 4.8% on the 27th November to close at 21,134.50 points. However, the market rebounded at the end of the month to close at 21,821.50 points. In the middle of November, the HSI peaked at 23,100 points, the highest since August last year. Trading volume, which continues to slightly decline in the past few months have been quite high in the last few days in the month of November.


Weekly HSI chart as at 30 November 2009 using NextVIEW Advisor

The HSI rebounded exactly on the 90-day moving average. Since April this year, the HSI was supported by the 60-day moving average but the plunge on Thursday broke this support level. However, the benchmark index is back above the 60-day moving average. The upward momentum for the past three months has been weak. The momentum indicators continue to diverge from the uptrend since September and indicate stronger bearish pressure. This shows strong resistance and there is a little chance for the HSI to move higher above the recent peak at 23,100 points. The HSI may test the 90-day moving average support level again at 21,250 points and if this is broken, the market may continue to move further downwards to the next support level at 20,400 points.

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Article contributed by Private Trader, Market Expert, Trading Coach and Chief Market Strategist of Nextview, Mr. Benny Lee. For more articles and commentaries from Benny, click HERE.

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